Tuckers Report: FEDs Interest Rates Could Push Economy Past Breaking Point
- EB Tucker has stated that the Federal Reserve’s interest rates will break substantial pieces of the economy, and they will rescue select members
- He believes this is no longer free markets but state-controlled capitalism
- He advises to not let it be you, as something is going to break
- In his report for The Tucker Letter, he provides a direct message for how to navigate these scenarios and manage a portfolio on behalf of a trust
- His chart from today’s issue shows what the FED has done and that rates might be finished going up
- He compares this situation to the movie Ford vs Ferrari where Ken Miles pushes his opponent beyond their limit
- Past a certain point, the FED is at 7000 RPM and the economy will break if it goes beyond that
- Expectations have now matched the current rate level so they may be close to being done.
Fed Reserve Move Could Lead to US Brawl: Selective Capitalism and Bank Backstopping in Play
- The Federal Reserve is trying to raise interest rates to create pain in the US and strengthen the dollar so that it can be used as a weapon to achieve policy goals
- The US is engaging in selective capitalism, protecting certain people while average people suffer
- Now is not the time to gamble but to avoid the coming brawl
- The government has backstopped banks partly in order to maintain credibility in the system and prevent people from withdrawing their money too quickly.
Faith in US Finance System on the Line as Zombie Companies Rise
- The United States system of finance is ultimately based on faith
- The current economical climate has created a situation where businesses are not generating enough positive cash flow to pay the interest on their debt and are instead becoming “zombie companies”
- These companies have been able to borrow money at close to zero percent interest rates, but when it comes time for them to refinance they may not be able to get loans at the same low rate
- Certain sectors such as high growth Tech are more likely to contain zombie companies
- Investors must be realistic about what value these companies have in order for the system to continue.
When to Act in an Unstable Economy?
- People are not in full panic mode yet
- Commercial lending is all but frozen and the ripple effect impacts everyday person
- Banks are likely to consolidate, not completely disappear
- One should wait for maximum fear before taking action due to the economy
- When people are not afraid enough at the top and too scared at the bottom is when one should act.
Navigating a Wave of Surprises: An Investors Guide to State Controlled Capitalism
- The current system of state controlled capitalism involves surprising measures from regulators, such as the FED buying junk bonds at full price
- This creates a boom and bust cycle with panics that can be predicted, and if one misses it, they are in big trouble
- Inflation is high and costs are not going to lower
- In order to stay ahead, investors have to ride the wave and be prepared for the panic events.
Economic Anxiety: How Rising Costs Impact People and Neighborhoods
- People are making adjustments to their purchasing decisions in order to get by
- Wages are sticky downwards and mortgages are unaffordable for many people, creating massive pain
- The FED has stopped raising rates and the Canadian Central Bank may do the same
- Historically, the FED has kept rates elevated for 8-12 months before lowering them
- However, it is difficult to predict what will happen with mortgage rates next year
- Should prices come down, comps and neighborhoods will also decline as a chain reaction
- FED bailouts are only available to select people and those near power centers are more likely to benefit.
E.B Tucker Shares Strategies for Weathering Economic Downturn
- E.B Tucker discussed how the current system may remain after this downturn, and that one should position themselves for the downturn
- He created The Tucker Letter which is released every other Thursday and can be accessed for free or through a paid subscription
- He discussed buying companies to add to a portfolio with the intention of keeping them long-term, rather than gambling
- He suggested banks may become cheap soon and should be considered when adding to a portfolio, but cautioned against buying too early as they could get significantly cheaper.